Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Deportes 3, M+ Deportes 7
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Chicago Bears		New England Patriots

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.34	3.38	Watch
	1.35	3.48
	1.33	3.34	Watch
	1.36	3.4
	1.33	3.4
	1.34	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bears
71.7%

New England Patriots
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Chicago Bears - New England Patriots Predictions

Users Predictions: Chicago Bears will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
08:41, Slye J. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
07:43, Santos C. (Field Goal),
13:14, Polk J. (Touchdown),
13:14, Slye J. (Extra Point),
14:59, Slye J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
06:26, Slye J. (Field Goal),
12:39, Slye J. (Field Goal),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent matches Chicago is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

New England is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chicago is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 109:126 (average 27.3:31.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
03.11.24	Arizona Cardinals - Chicago Bears	29:9 ✺
27.10.24	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	18:15 ✺
13.10.24	Chicago Bears - Jacksonville Jaguars	35:16 ✺
06.10.24	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	36:10 ✺
29.09.24	Chicago Bears - Los Angeles Rams	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- New England Patriots
NFL
03.11.24	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	20:17 OT ✺
27.10.24	New England Patriots - New York Jets	25:22 ✺
20.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - New England Patriots	32:16 ✺
13.10.24	New England Patriots - Houston Texans	21:41 ✺
06.10.24	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	10:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.10.22	New England Patriots - Chicago Bears	14:33
21.10.18	Chicago Bears - New England Patriots	31:38
18.08.16	New England Patriots - Chicago Bears	23:22
26.10.14	New England Patriots - Chicago Bears	51:23

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