Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 5

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough)


	New England Patriots		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.84	2.01	Watch
	1.82	2.01
	1.8	2.12
	1.8	2.05
	1.85	1.98
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
52.6%

New Orleans Saints
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

New Orleans Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for New England Patriots aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for New Orleans Saints aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). New Orleans will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Orleans: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

New England is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches New Orleans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in New England: Gonzalez C. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches New England won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 139-121.

Including matches at home between the teams New England won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77-77.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
01.10.23	Dallas Cowboys - New England Patriots	38:3 ✺
24.09.23	New York Jets - New England Patriots	10:15 ✺
17.09.23	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	17:24 ✺
10.09.23	New England Patriots - Philadelphia Eagles	20:25 ✺
25.08.23	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	23:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
01.10.23	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9:26 ✺
24.09.23	Green Bay Packers - New Orleans Saints	18:17 ✺
18.09.23	Carolina Panthers - New Orleans Saints	17:20 ✺
10.09.23	New Orleans Saints - Tennessee Titans	16:15 ✺
27.08.23	New Orleans Saints - Houston Texans	13:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.09.21	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	13:28
17.09.17	New Orleans Saints - New England Patriots	20:36
11.08.16	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	34:22
22.08.15	New Orleans Saints - New England Patriots	24:26
13.10.13	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	30:27
09.08.12	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	N/A

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