Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	New Mexico Lobos		Nevada Wolf Pack

	1	2
	1.18	5
	1.17	4.87
	1.18	5.14
	1.19	4.29	Watch
	1.15	4.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.26)	4.85 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico Lobos
80.5%

Nevada Wolf Pack
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nevada Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
07:44, McKinney D. (Touchdown),
07:44, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
11:19, McFadden J. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 9)
08:09, Humphrey S. (Touchdown),
08:09, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
13:09, McFadden J. (Field Goal),
14:19, Ramseur C. (Touchdown),
3rd Quarter (10 - 7)
03:15, McKinney D. (Touchdown),
03:15, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
11:35, Ramseur C. (Touchdown),
11:35, McFadden J. (Extra Point),
15:00, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 3)
04:05, McFadden J. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.

New Mexico has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nevada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, New Mexico is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 130:174. (average 21.7:29).

Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 79:84. (average 26.3:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico Lobos football
NCAA College Football
11.10.25	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	41:25 ✺
03.10.25	San Jose State Spartans - New Mexico Lobos	35:28 ✺
27.09.25	New Mexico Lobos - New Mexico State Aggies	38:20 ✺
12.09.25	UCLA Bruins - New Mexico Lobos	10:35 ✺
06.09.25	New Mexico Lobos - Idaho State Bengals	32:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWW
- Nevada Wolf Pack football
NCAA College Football
11.10.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	10:44 ✺
04.10.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	20:17 ✺
20.09.25	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Nevada Wolf Pack	31:16 ✺
13.09.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	13:14 ✺
06.09.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Sacramento State Hornets	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
28.10.23	Nevada Wolf Pack - New Mexico Lobos	34:24
14.11.20	New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack	20:27
02.11.19	Nevada Wolf Pack - New Mexico Lobos	21:10
05.11.16	New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack	35:26
10.10.15	Nevada Wolf Pack - New Mexico Lobos	35:17
17.11.12	New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack	24:31

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