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Current Win Probability
New Orleans Saints 23.5%
Washington Commanders 76.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Orleans Saints's form might have worsened.
Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Commanders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Orleans Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Commanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
0%
58.3%
New Orleans Saints - Washington Commanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Washington will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:26
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 7)
09:32, McLaurin T. (Touchdown),
09:32, Joseph G. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
09:22, McLaurin T. (Touchdown),
09:22, Joseph G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
06:48, Joseph G. (Field Goal),
09:15, Kamara A. (Touchdown),
09:15, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
14:59, Joseph G. (Missed Field Goal),
4th Quarter (12 - 3)
00:04, Joseph G. (Field Goal),
03:51, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
07:58, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
13:00, Joseph G. (Missed Field Goal),
15:00, Moreau F. (Touchdown),
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Washington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Washington is a favorite.
There will not play in New Orleans: Bradford M.
(Inactive)
Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 156:159 (average 31.2:31.8).
Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 109:90 (average 36.3:30).
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