Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 10

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford)


	New York Giants		Houston Texans

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.46	2.9
	1.43	2.85
	1.45	2.96
	1.45	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.93
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

New York Giants
66.6%

Houston Texans
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Houston Texans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Giants than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

New York Giants - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: New York Giants will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 16).

NY Giants has currently - 6-2, has a good chance of playoffs (80%), has a very small chance of win division (4%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%).

Houston has currently - 1-6-1, has a very small chance of playoffs (0.4%), has a very small chance of win division (0.3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has very small quality 7, small importance 12, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

NY Giants is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

NY Giants could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

NY Giants will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's NY Giants to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 2 head-to-head matches NY Giants won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 57-39.

Including matches at home between the teams NY Giants won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Giants
NFL
30.10.22	Seattle Seahawks - New York Giants	27:13 ✺
23.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Giants	17:23 ✺
16.10.22	New York Giants - Baltimore Ravens	24:20 ✺
09.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New York Giants	22:27 ✺
02.10.22	New York Giants - Chicago Bears	20:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWWW
- Houston Texans
NFL
03.11.22	Houston Texans - Philadelphia Eagles	17:29 ✺
30.10.22	Houston Texans - Tennessee Titans	10:17 ✺
23.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	38:20 ✺
09.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	6:13 ✺
02.10.22	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	24:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.09.18	Houston Texans - New York Giants	22:27
21.09.14	New York Giants - Houston Texans	30:17

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