Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Northwestern Wildcats		Illinois Fighting Illini

	1	2
	3.65	1.3
	3.6	1.3
	3.6	1.3	Watch
	3.73	1.3
	3.68	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.65	1.3
	3.6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NCAA College Football with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Big Ten Network

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Current Win Probability

Northwestern Wildcats
26.3%

Illinois Fighting Illini
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northwestern Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northwestern Wildcats than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Northwestern Wildcats - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 7)
05:29, Akers L. (Field Goal),
06:48, Laughery A. (Touchdown),
06:48, Olano D. (Extra Point),
12:46, Turner D. (Touchdown),
12:46, Akers L. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
01:39, Altmyer L. (Touchdown),
01:39, Olano D. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (10 - 14)
00:45, Laughery A. (Touchdown),
00:45, Olano D. (Extra Point),
04:52, Bryant P. (Touchdown),
04:52, Olano D. (Extra Point),
09:25, Akers L. (Field Goal),
13:26, Henning A. (Touchdown),
13:26, Lausch J. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (8 - 10)
02:45, Laughery A. (Touchdown),
02:45, Olano D. (Extra Point),
03:54, Olano D. (Field Goal),
14:00, Gordon T. (Touchdown),
14:00, Lang M. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northwestern won 3.

Northwestern is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Illinois is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Illinois is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Northwestern won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 371:304 (average 28.5:23.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Northwestern won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 180:149 (average 30:24.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northwestern Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Michigan Wolverines - Northwestern Wildcats	50:6 ✺
16.11.24	Northwestern Wildcats - Ohio State Buckeyes	7:31 ✺
02.11.24	Purdue Boilermakers - Northwestern Wildcats	20:26 OT ✺
26.10.24	Iowa Hawkeyes - Northwestern Wildcats	40:14 ✺
19.10.24	Northwestern Wildcats - Wisconsin Badgers	3:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Illinois Fighting Illini football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Illinois Fighting Illini	31:36 ✺
16.11.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans	38:16 ✺
02.11.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Minnesota Golden Gophers	17:25 ✺
26.10.24	Oregon Ducks - Illinois Fighting Illini	38:9 ✺
19.10.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	21:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Northwestern Wildcats	43:45
26.11.22	Northwestern Wildcats - Illinois Fighting Illini	3:41
27.11.21	Illinois Fighting Illini - Northwestern Wildcats	47:14
12.12.20	Northwestern Wildcats - Illinois Fighting Illini	28:10
30.11.19	Illinois Fighting Illini - Northwestern Wildcats	10:29
24.11.18	Northwestern Wildcats - Illinois Fighting Illini	24:16
25.11.17	Illinois Fighting Illini - Northwestern Wildcats	7:42

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