Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday


	Texas Longhorns		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	1.26	4
	1.25	4
	1.29	3.55
	1.24	3.75
	1.27	4.04
	1.22	4
	1.22	4.25	Watch
	1.25	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	3.96 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas Longhorns
76%

Baylor Bears
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas Longhorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Texas Longhorns's performance.

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baylor Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas Longhorns than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Texas Longhorns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baylor Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Texas Longhorns - Baylor Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:23

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Preview

Texas has currently - 7-4, has a small chance of wins conference (8%), has a very small chance of makes playoff (<1%), has a very small chance of wins national title (<1%), has a good chance of win league (69%).

Baylor has currently - 6-5, has not chance of wins conference, has a very small chance of makes playoff (<1%), has a very small chance of wins national title (<1%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Texas won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Texas is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Texas won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 253-254.

Including matches at home between the teams Texas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 148-145.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas Longhorns football
NCAA College Football
19.11.22	Kansas Jayhawks - Texas Longhorns	14:55 ✺
12.11.22	Texas Longhorns - TCU Horned Frogs	10:17 ✺
05.11.22	Kansas State Wildcats - Texas Longhorns	27:34 ✺
22.10.22	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Texas Longhorns	41:34 ✺
15.10.22	Texas Longhorns - Iowa State Cyclones	24:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
19.11.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	28:29 ✺
12.11.22	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	3:31 ✺
05.11.22	Oklahoma Sooners - Baylor Bears	35:38 ✺
29.10.22	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Baylor Bears	17:45 ✺
22.10.22	Baylor Bears - Kansas Jayhawks	35:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
30.10.21	Baylor Bears - Texas Longhorns	31:24
24.10.20	Texas Longhorns - Baylor Bears	27:16
23.11.19	Baylor Bears - Texas Longhorns	24:10
13.10.18	Texas Longhorns - Baylor Bears	23:17
28.10.17	Baylor Bears - Texas Longhorns	7:38
29.10.16	Texas Longhorns - Baylor Bears	35:34
05.12.15	Baylor Bears - Texas Longhorns	17:23

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