Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

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	Texas State Bobcats		James Madison Dukes

	1	2
	3.3	1.36
	3.23	1.33
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	3.22	1.32
	3.1	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas State Bobcats
29.8%

James Madison Dukes
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

James Madison Dukes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Texas State Bobcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Madison Dukes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James Madison Dukes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Texas State Bobcats - James Madison Dukes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 55.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
07:11, DeGennaro N. (Touchdown),
07:11, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
10:44, Fuller J. (Touchdown),
10:44, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (20 - 14)
00:26, Anderson M. (Touchdown),
00:26, Robles T. (Extra Point),
05:15, Fuller J. (Touchdown),
05:15, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
09:00, Robles T. (Field Goal),
10:15, Phifer J. (Touchdown),
10:15, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
13:23, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
13:23, Robles T. (Extra Point),
14:56, Robles T. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 21)
00:47, DeGennaro N. (Touchdown),
00:47, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
05:10, Kyle L. (Touchdown),
05:10, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
08:17, Barnett A. (Touchdown),
08:17, Suarez M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 3)
01:33, Suarez M. (Field Goal),

Preview

Texas State has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

James Madison is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, James Madison is considered a favorite.

We predict that James Madison will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Texas State won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas State Bobcats football
NCAA College Football
18.10.25	Marshall Thundering Herd - Texas State Bobcats	40:37 OT ✺
11.10.25	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	41:48 OT ✺
04.10.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	31:30 ✺
20.09.25	Texas State Bobcats - Nicholls State Colonels	35:3 ✺
13.09.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Texas State Bobcats	34:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- James Madison Dukes football
NCAA College Football
18.10.25	James Madison Dukes - Old Dominion Monarchs	63:27 ✺
11.10.25	James Madison Dukes - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	24:14 ✺
04.10.25	Georgia State Panthers - James Madison Dukes	7:14 ✺
27.09.25	James Madison Dukes - Georgia Southern Eagles	35:10 ✺
20.09.25	Liberty Flames - James Madison Dukes	13:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
01.10.22	James Madison Dukes - Texas State Bobcats	40:14

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