Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Texas State Bobcats		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	1.32	3.5
	1.3	3.37
	1.32	3.56
	1.19	4.29	Watch
	1.32	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.25)	3.65 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas State Bobcats
73.9%

Troy Trojans
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Troy Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (28 - 7)
03:04, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
03:04, Robles T. (Extra Point),
05:40, Burrell G. (Touchdown),
05:40, Robles T. (Extra Point),
12:31, Pare L. (Touchdown),
12:31, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:48, Thomas R. (Touchdown),
13:48, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
14:52, Pare L. (Touchdown),
14:52, Robles T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
07:26, Worley J. (Touchdown),
07:26, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
12:25, Robles T. (Field Goal),
15:00, McAteer P. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
03:33, Williams J. (Touchdown),
03:33, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
06:57, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
11:15, Pare L. (Touchdown),
11:15, Robles T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 14)
02:15, Swartz T. (Touchdown),
11:05, Robles T. (Field Goal),
13:47, Epps D. (Touchdown),
Overtime (0 - 7)
03', (Touchdown),
03', (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Texas State is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 188:352. (average 18.8:35.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 75:165. (average 18.8:41.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas State Bobcats football
NCAA College Football
04.10.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	31:30 ✺
20.09.25	Texas State Bobcats - Nicholls State Colonels	35:3 ✺
13.09.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Texas State Bobcats	34:15 ✺
06.09.25	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - Texas State Bobcats	36:43 ✺
30.08.25	Texas State Bobcats - Eastern Michigan Eagles	52:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Troy Trojans football
NCAA College Football
04.10.25	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	31:24 OT ✺
20.09.25	Buffalo Bulls - Troy Trojans	17:21 ✺
13.09.25	Troy Trojans - Memphis Tigers	7:28 ✺
06.09.25	Clemson Tigers - Troy Trojans	27:16 ✺
30.08.25	Troy Trojans - Nicholls State Colonels	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
03.10.24	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	17:38
28.10.23	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	13:31
15.10.22	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	17:14
16.10.21	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	28:31
10.10.20	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	37:17
16.11.19	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	27:63
17.11.18	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	12:7

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