The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Texas State Bobcats 74.5%
South Alabama Jaguars 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Texas State Bobcats that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Alabama Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Texas State (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:26
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (10 - 7)
04:37, Robles T. (Field Goal),
10:20, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:20, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:22, Bullock K. (Touchdown),
13:22, Little D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (11 - 0)
03:52, Robles T. (Field Goal),
13:52, Pare L. (Touchdown),
13:52, Lyons T. (Two-Point Conversion),
3rd Quarter (14 - 0)
06:57, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
06:57, Robles T. (Extra Point),
10:12, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:12, Robles T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 19)
02:14, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
02:14, Robles T. (Extra Point),
08:40, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
08:40, Little D. (Extra Point),
08:54, Jenkins J. (Touchdown),
08:54, Robles T. (Extra Point),
10:53, Dunbar T. (Touchdown),
11:05, Scott J. (Touchdown),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Texas State is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 321:323. (average 32.1:32.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 184:152. (average 36.8:30.4).
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