The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 59.8%
Texas State Bobcats 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southern Miss Golden Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southern Miss Golden Eagles's form might have worsened.
Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Texas State Bobcats's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Miss Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southern Miss Golden Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Texas State Bobcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:32
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 10)
04:48, Robles T. (Field Goal),
12:44, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
12:44, Robles T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 17)
04:19, Robles T. (Field Goal),
08:57, Dawn Junior C. (Touchdown),
08:57, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:54, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
13:54, Robles T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
11:58, Metcalf E. (Touchdown),
11:58, Wilbanks C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 14)
02:28, Pare L. (Touchdown),
02:28, Robles T. (Extra Point),
07:15, Jones C. (Touchdown),
07:15, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:21, Pittman J. (Touchdown),
13:21, Wilbanks C. (Extra Point),
Preview
Southern Miss has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Texas State is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Southern Miss might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Southern Miss will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southern Miss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 130:194. (average 26:38.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Southern Miss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:72. (average 25.5:36).
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