Match Info
NFL - Round 6Date: 12 October 2025, SundayLocation: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event, TNT Sports 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NFL Game Pass |
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Kansas City Chiefs |
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Detroit Lions |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kansas City Chiefs
56.1% | Detroit Lions
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Detroit Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Detroit will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 30.1% – 75.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Detroit (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -5, OT - Kansas City (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 52.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, OT - Kansas City (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Detroit (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (6 - 3)
- 09:36, Bates J. (Field Goal),
- 13:49, Worthy X. (Touchdown),
- 13:49, Butker H. (Missed Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
- 02:11, Williams J. (Touchdown),
- 02:11, Bates J. (Extra Point),
- 14:23, Mahomes P. (Touchdown),
- 14:23, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
- 03:37, Brown M. (Touchdown),
- 03:37, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 4th Quarter (10 - 7)
- 00:46, Laporta S. (Touchdown),
- 00:46, Bates J. (Extra Point),
- 05:30, Brown M. (Touchdown),
- 05:30, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 12:31, Butker H. (Field Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1).Kansas City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Detroit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 122:85. (average 30.5:21.3).Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 88:55. (average 29.3:18.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 17.08.24 | Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions | 23:24 | | 07.09.23 | Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions | 20:21 | | 29.09.19 | Detroit Lions - Kansas City Chiefs | 30:34 | | 01.11.15 | Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions | 45:10 |
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