Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Arden Street Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Sydney Swans

	1	X	2
	1.03		12
	1.05	75.00	7.00
	1.06		8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.12)	25 ↓ (75)	9.27 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 90.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
86.6%

Draw
3.6%

Sydney Swans
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.1%

1.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:44

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (11 - 0)
2nd Quarter (13 - 2)
3rd Quarter (19 - 7)
4th Quarter (28 - 7)

Preview

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Sydney may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, North Melbourne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, North Melbourne has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 242:48 (averaging 80.7:16 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for North Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 242:48 goals (averaging 80.7:16 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	North Melbourne W	10	9	0	1	650:258	251.94	36
7	Sydney Swans W	10	7	0	3	491:435	112.87	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
25.09.26	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	34:65 ✺
18.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	32:25 ✺
13.09.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	33:23 ✺
04.09.26	St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:99 ✺
28.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs	70:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW
- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
27.09.26	Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions	37:23 ✺
19.09.26	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	27:41 ✺
13.09.26	Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants	87:56 ✺
04.09.26	Western Bulldogs - Sydney Swans	60:33 ✺
29.08.26	Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints	38:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
04.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	88:20
12.10.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	87:27
02.10.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	67:1

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