Match Info

AFL Women - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Windy Hill (Essendon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Essendon Bombers		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	2
	34	1
	10	1
	12.5	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	18.83 ↑ (10)	1 (1)

The most likely Over/Under: 89.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-61)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
5.1%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
94.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.1%

90.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:76

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (20 - 13)
2nd Quarter (0 - 16)
3rd Quarter (12 - 29)
4th Quarter (1 - 27)

Preview

Essendon is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

North Melbourne is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

North Melbourne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, North Melbourne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Essendon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:129 (averaging 24:64.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Essendon against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 48:129 goals (averaging 24:64.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	North Melbourne W	10	9	0	1	650:258	251.94	36
17	Essendon Bombers W	10	1	0	9	328:590	55.59	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
09.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	65:22 ✺
02.10.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers	35:43 ✺
24.09.26	Essendon Bombers - West Coast Eagles	35:45 ✺
19.09.26	Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns	10:51 ✺
13.09.26	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	37:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
10.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Fremantle Dockers	58:30 ✺
03.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	71:16 ✺
25.09.26	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	34:65 ✺
18.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	32:25 ✺
13.09.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	33:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
26.09.25	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	41:71
20.10.24	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:58

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