Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Brighton Homes Arena (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3


	Brisbane Lions		Hawthorn Hawks

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.41	2.64
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.99
	1.37	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 92.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Lions
67.9%

Hawthorn Hawks
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC, 1Q - Brisbane (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 52:41

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (15 - 11)
2nd Quarter (1 - 14)
3rd Quarter (3 - 1)
4th Quarter (10 - 7)

Preview

In this match, Brisbane is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 158:71. (average 52.7:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
30.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	39:9 ✺
23.11.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	50:32 ✺
09.11.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:38 ✺
02.11.24	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	41:68 ✺
27.10.24	Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans	78:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
16.11.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power	49:50 ✺
09.11.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:38 ✺
03.11.24	Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks	23:46 ✺
24.10.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	23:17 ✺
18.10.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants	61:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
09.11.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:38
01.10.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:59
22.10.22	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	7:61

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺
- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺

Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide