Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503, Fox Sports 506
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3


	Geelong Cats		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	2
	4	1.25
	3.8	1.21
	4	1.22
	3.38	1.31
	4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.38)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 74.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats
24.5%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
75.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:45

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (12 - 12)
2nd Quarter (0 - 8)
3rd Quarter (2 - 0)
4th Quarter (7 - 31)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 0.

In this match, North Melbourne is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 135:274. (average 19.3:39.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 65:184. (average 16.3:46).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
01.11.24	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	28:32 ✺
26.10.24	West Coast Eagles - Geelong Cats	23:56 ✺
19.10.24	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	47:37 ✺
12.10.24	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	46:39 ✺
06.10.24	Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats	41:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLW
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
30.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	39:9 ✺
22.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Port Adelaide Power	78:21 ✺
08.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	38:31 ✺
02.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gold Coast Suns	78:15 ✺
25.10.24	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
08.09.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	36:36
15.09.23	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	22:31
05.11.22	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	14:16
16.09.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	28:16
08.01.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	26:18
30.01.21	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	9:71
13.03.20	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	20:66

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	✺
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	✺

Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide