Match Info

AFL Women - Round 6

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Cazaly's Stadium (Cairns)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	FOX Sports 2


	Hawthorn Hawks		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	X	2
	13		1.02
	8.00	100.00	1.03
	7.9		1.04
	9.6		1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.63 ↑ (7)	25 ↓ (75)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 88.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawthorn Hawks
9.4%

Draw
3.6%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
87%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.9%

1.2%

85.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:47

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 10)
2nd Quarter (2 - 8)
3rd Quarter (8 - 1)
4th Quarter (16 - 6)

Preview

Hawthorn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

North Melbourne is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

North Melbourne holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hawthorn has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:109 (averaging 10.5:54.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hawthorn against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:67 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	North Melbourne W	10	9	0	1	650:258	251.94	36
10	Hawthorn Hawks W	10	5	0	5	461:454	101.54	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
11.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs	41:30 ✺
05.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows	39:67 ✺
30.08.26	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	26:54 ✺
23.08.26	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	33:65 ✺
13.08.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	41:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
13.09.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	33:23 ✺
04.09.26	St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:99 ✺
28.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs	70:23 ✺
22.08.26	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:44 ✺
14.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	100:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
07.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks	42:3
31.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	18:67

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