Match Info

AFL Women - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Arden Street Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Carlton Blues

	1	X	2
	1.02		15
	1.05	100.00	7.00
	1.05		7.75
	1.06		8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.08)	25 ↓ (75)	9.59 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 97.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
86.9%

Draw
3.6%

Carlton Blues
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

84.7%

1.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 1)
2nd Quarter (13 - 13)
3rd Quarter (8 - 9)
4th Quarter (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 5.

North Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, North Melbourne is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 386:116. (average 64.3:19.3).

Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 256:85. (average 64:21.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	North Melbourne W	10	9	0	1	650:258	251.94	36
6	Carlton Blues W	10	7	0	3	476:358	132.96	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
04.09.26	St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:99 ✺
28.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs	70:23 ✺
22.08.26	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:44 ✺
14.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	100:27 ✺
29.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	56:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW
- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
06.09.26	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	68:29 ✺
30.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues	42:48 ✺
23.08.26	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	50:23 ✺
09.08.26	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	40:66 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
20.09.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	79:26
25.09.24	Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos	10:79
10.09.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	66:6
29.01.22	Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos	21:51
27.02.21	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	59:37
02.02.19	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	52:16

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