Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Alberton Oval (Alberton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 2


	Port Adelaide Power		Western Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.47	2.7
	1.45	2.55
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	2.67 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 82.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide Power
64.7%

Western Bulldogs
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Adelaide Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Port Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Western (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 47:36

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (1 - 9)
2nd Quarter (14 - 13)
3rd Quarter (14 - 6)
4th Quarter (25 - 7)

Preview

Port Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Western has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Port Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Port Adelaide will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 55:34. (average 27.5:17).

Including home match between the teams, Port Adelaide won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
27.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	53:42 ✺
19.09.25	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	40:45 ✺
13.09.25	Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons	43:41 ✺
07.09.25	West Coast Eagles - Port Adelaide Power	64:45 ✺
30.08.25	Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns	108:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW
- Western Bulldogs Women
AFL Women
26.09.25	Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies	65:8 ✺
21.09.25	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	22:47 ✺
13.09.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs	50:29 ✺
06.09.25	Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs	49:33 ✺
30.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks	10:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
06.09.24	Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power	6:46
02.09.22	Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs	9:28

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