Match Info

AFL Women - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Whitten Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 505
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 4


	Western Bulldogs		Collingwood Magpies

	1	2
	2.65	1.48
	2.7	1.4
	2.9	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 (2.75)	1.42 (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Bulldogs
34.1%

Collingwood Magpies
65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Western Bulldogs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Collingwood Magpies have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:37

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 0)
2nd Quarter (20 - 6)
3rd Quarter (12 - 2)
4th Quarter (19 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 1.

Western has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Collingwood has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Collingwood has had a series of home games.

Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Western won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 243:298. (average 34.7:42.6).

Including home match between the teams, Western won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Bulldogs Women
AFL Women
21.09.25	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	22:47 ✺
13.09.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs	50:29 ✺
06.09.25	Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs	49:33 ✺
30.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks	10:14 ✺
23.08.25	Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs	21:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLLW
- Collingwood Magpies Women
AFL Women
19.09.25	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	30:39 ✺
12.09.25	Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans	43:17 ✺
07.09.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Collingwood Magpies	58:13 ✺
30.08.25	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	33:37 ✺
22.08.25	Collingwood Magpies - Greater Western Sydney Giants	33:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
22.09.24	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	15:57
06.11.22	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	40:35
26.02.22	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	66:41
06.03.21	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	51:15
07.03.20	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	53:21
03.03.18	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	41:49
25.02.17	Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies	25:32

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