Match Info

AFL Women - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Whitten Oval (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 505
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 2


	Western Bulldogs		Brisbane Lions

	1	2
	8	1.08
	7	1.04
	9.5	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.17 ↓ (8.5)	1.06 ↓ (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 76.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Bulldogs
11.5%

Brisbane Lions
88.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.2%

88.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:53

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (2 - 8)
2nd Quarter (6 - 16)
3rd Quarter (7 - 9)
4th Quarter (7 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.

Recent form of Western has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Brisbane has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brisbane is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Western won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 161:264. (average 26.8:44).

Including home matches between the teams, Western won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 78:136. (average 26:45.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Bulldogs Women
AFL Women
13.09.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs	50:29 ✺
06.09.25	Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs	49:33 ✺
30.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks	10:14 ✺
23.08.25	Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs	21:42 ✺
16.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	14:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
14.09.25	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	36:65 ✺
06.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	38:41 ✺
31.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	44:58 ✺
23.08.25	Fremantle Dockers - Brisbane Lions	35:105 ✺
16.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
18.09.24	Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs	81:34
12.03.22	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	34:66
23.02.19	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	17:49
23.03.18	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	27:21
11.02.18	Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs	24:33
10.03.17	Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs	23:16

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Bulldogs Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	✺
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺

Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide