Match Info

AFL Women - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Richmond Tigers		Fremantle Dockers

	1	X	2
	3.25		1.35
	2.9		1.35
	3		1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3)	↓	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Tigers
30.8%

Fremantle Dockers
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.6%

1.8%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:46

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 19)
2nd Quarter (0 - 20)
3rd Quarter (7 - 21)
4th Quarter (14 - 0)

Preview

Fremantle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fremantle could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fremantle will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 91:172. (average 30.3:57.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 77:114. (average 38.5:57).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
8	Fremantle Dockers W	10	5	0	5	407:388	104.90	20
13	Richmond W	10	4	0	6	385:559	68.87	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
30.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers	33:38 ✺
22.08.26	Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers	48:37 ✺
15.08.26	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	46:28 ✺
01.11.25	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	25:39 ✺
25.10.25	Fremantle Dockers - Richmond Tigers	58:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Fremantle Dockers Women
AFL Women
30.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues	42:48 ✺
22.08.26	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	30:50 ✺
16.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Port Adelaide Power	20:41 ✺
02.11.25	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	29:17 ✺
25.10.25	Fremantle Dockers - Richmond Tigers	58:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
25.10.25	Fremantle Dockers - Richmond Tigers	58:14
28.09.23	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	30:37
22.01.22	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	47:77

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