Match Info

AFL Women - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+


	Richmond Tigers		Gold Coast Suns

	1	2
	1.17	5.25
	1.16	4.5
	1.14	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.3)	5.12 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Tigers
81.6%

Gold Coast Suns
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

94.1%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richmond Tigers's performance.

Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast Suns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (8 - 9)
2nd Quarter (8 - 8)
3rd Quarter (7 - 1)
4th Quarter (2 - 21)

Preview

In recent matches, Richmond has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gold Coast has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Richmond is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 155:153. (average 31:30.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:55. (average 29:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
25.10.25	Fremantle Dockers - Richmond Tigers	58:14 ✺
19.10.25	Collingwood Magpies - Richmond Tigers	33:46 ✺
11.10.25	Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	14:50 ✺
04.10.25	Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows	58:47 ✺
28.09.25	Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers	54:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLWL
- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
26.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies	24:39 ✺
19.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs	6:72 ✺
11.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Gold Coast Suns	60:37 ✺
04.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions	15:83 ✺
25.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns	93:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
08.10.23	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	35:36
01.10.22	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	23:19
30.01.22	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	39:34
12.03.21	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	26:41
15.02.20	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	33:22

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	✺
- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	✺

Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide