Match Info

AFL Women - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Windy Hill (Essendon)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Richmond Tigers		St Kilda Saints

	1	X	2
	1.62		2.3
	1.60	50.00	2.25
	1.54		2.3
	1.56		2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	12.5 ↓ (50)	2.31 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 82.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-37)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Tigers
55.2%

Draw
7%

St Kilda Saints
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

1.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Kilda Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 60:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (19 - 6)
2nd Quarter (20 - 21)
3rd Quarter (6 - 8)
4th Quarter (13 - 8)

Preview

Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Richmond will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 100:108. (average 33.3:36).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
13	Richmond W	10	4	0	6	385:559	68.87	16
18	St Kilda W	10	1	0	9	264:585	45.13	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
05.09.26	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	35:60 ✺
30.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers	33:38 ✺
22.08.26	Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers	48:37 ✺
15.08.26	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	46:28 ✺
01.11.25	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	25:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
04.09.26	St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos	7:99 ✺
29.08.26	Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints	38:15 ✺
22.08.26	Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints	100:15 ✺
09.08.26	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	40:66 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	60:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
21.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	43:36
07.01.22	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	23:61
14.03.20	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	42:3

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