Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 503
Canada	fubo Sports Network
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	St Kilda Saints		Carlton Blues

	1	X	2
	2.9		1.42
	2.8		1.38
				Watch
				Watch
	2.95		1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.2)	↓	1.4 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 76.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Kilda Saints
32.6%

Carlton Blues
67.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

1.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Kilda Saints's form might have worsened.

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlton Blues's recent form is better than expected.

St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:41

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (1 - 19)
2nd Quarter (7 - 22)
3rd Quarter (19 - 9)
4th Quarter (13 - 16)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 2.

Carlton could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 159:244. (average 26.5:40.7).

Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:84. (average 16.5:42).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
6	Carlton Blues W	10	7	0	3	476:358	132.96	28
18	St Kilda W	10	1	0	9	264:585	45.13	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
08.11.25	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	60:16 ✺
02.11.25	St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs	27:72 ✺
25.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints	67:21 ✺
18.10.25	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	36:49 ✺
12.10.25	St Kilda Saints - Collingwood Magpies	35:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
15.11.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues	33:79 ✺
07.11.25	Carlton Blues - West Coast Eagles	60:19 ✺
31.10.25	West Coast Eagles - Carlton Blues	22:42 ✺
26.10.25	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	81:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
18.10.25	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	36:49
04.11.23	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	26:46
07.10.22	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	17:44
19.02.22	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	48:2
13.02.21	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	16:40
07.03.20	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	50:29

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