Match Info

SANFL - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Unley Oval (Unley)


	Sturt		Port Adelaide

	1	X	2
	1.07		7.5
	1.12	125.00	5.20
	1.10	101.00	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	75.33 ↓ (125)	5.9 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-39)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt
83.3%

Draw
1.2%

Port Adelaide
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.7%

0.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Port Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sturt - Port Adelaide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 105:66

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (25 - 16)
2nd Quarter (10 - 14)
3rd Quarter (38 - 21)
4th Quarter (38 - 18)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 4.

Recent performances by Sturt have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Port Adelaide is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sturt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sturt is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1597:1293. (average 79.9:64.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 796:546. (average 88.4:60.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt FC
SANFL
08.06.26	Sturt - Norwood	79:82 ✺
31.05.26	South Adelaide - Sturt	74:103 ✺
23.05.26	Sturt - Central District	105:31 ✺
09.05.26	Sturt - Adelaide	117:69 ✺
03.05.26	West Adelaide - Sturt	65:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Port Adelaide FC
SANFL
13.06.26	Port Adelaide - West Adelaide	77:86 ✺
06.06.26	Glenelg - Port Adelaide	111:62 ✺
23.05.26	Woodville-West Torrens - Port Adelaide	129:43 ✺
09.05.26	Port Adelaide - Central District	84:79 ✺
24.04.26	Norwood - Port Adelaide	68:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

SANFL
12.07.25	Port Adelaide - Sturt	69:143
04.04.25	Sturt - Port Adelaide	107:78
27.07.24	Sturt - Port Adelaide	68:45
31.05.24	Port Adelaide - Sturt	27:51
22.07.23	Port Adelaide - Sturt	73:54
23.04.23	Sturt - Port Adelaide	108:70
06.08.22	Sturt - Port Adelaide	85:54

Sturt - Port Adelaide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide