Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL WOMEN - ROUND 7

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Sydney Swans		Hawthorn Hawks

	1	2
	1.52	2.5
	1.44	2.8
	1.47	2.6
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)	2.6 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Swans
63.6%

Hawthorn Hawks
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawthorn Hawks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: Sydney Swans will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:35

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Preview

Recent matches Sydney is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hawthorn is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hawthorn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sydney will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sydney won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
07.10.23	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	30:45 ✺
29.09.23	Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans	44:39 ✺
23.09.23	Sydney Swans - West Coast Eagles	34:21 ✺
17.09.23	Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans	87:32 ✺
08.09.23	Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats	41:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
07.10.23	St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks	45:36 ✺
01.10.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:59 ✺
22.09.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	11:70 ✺
16.09.23	Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks	35:22 ✺
09.09.23	Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks	39:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
23.09.22	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	31:35

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Sydney Swans - West Coast Eagles	✺
- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺

Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide