Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Koki Watanabe		Yuji Tanaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.89	1.78
	1.81	1.85
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 78.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Watanabe
49.8%

Yuji Tanaka
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Watanabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Yuji Tanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuji Tanaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Watanabe is ranked BWF: 17. Tanaka is ranked BWF: 22.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
17.07.26	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Koki Watanabe - Nhat Nguyen	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Lakshya Sen - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Koki Watanabe - Victor Lai	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Brian Yang - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Yuji Tanaka
Badminton
17.07.26	Yuji Tanaka - Kunlavut Vitidsarn	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Cheuk Yiu Lee - Yuji Tanaka	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Yuji Tanaka - Shi Feng Li	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Ka Long Angus Ng	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Xuan Chen Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
13.03.26	Yuji Tanaka - Koki Watanabe	2:0
14.01.25	Yuji Tanaka - Koki Watanabe	Canceled
06.07.24	Yuji Tanaka - Koki Watanabe	0:2

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