Match Info

MLB

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Sutter Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4
World	MLB.TV


	Athletics		Cleveland Guardians

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2	1.83
	2.07	1.76
	2.17	1.81
			Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.15	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletics
46.1%

Cleveland Guardians
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletics than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Athletics - Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Athletics will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Cleveland will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletics: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletics (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cleveland (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
5. Wilson J.	38. Kwan S.
25. Rooker B.	24. DeLauter C.
16. Kurtz N.	11. Ramirez J.
32. Thomas C.	9. Manzardo K.
20. Gelof Z.	10. Schneemann D.
21. Soderstrom T.	37. Bazzana T.
29. Wynns A.	0. Halpin P.
2. Hernaiz D.	27. Hedges A.
22. McNeil J.	4. Rocchio B.
Pitchers
45. Civale A.	77. Messick P.
Coaches
. Kotsay M.	. Vogt S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletics won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Athletics has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletics won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 73:125. (average 3.7:6.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletics won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:71. (average 2.8:5.9).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 12.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Athletics - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.57%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletics Baseball
MLB
02.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8 ✺
01.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8 ✺
30.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	6:3 ✺
29.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	5:2 ✺
28.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
02.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8 ✺
01.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8 ✺
29.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	3:1 ✺
28.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
02.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8
01.05.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	5:8
MLB Spring Training
15.03.26	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	12:6
22.02.26	Athletics - Cleveland Guardians	0:6
MLB
20.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	8:2
19.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	2:8
18.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	8:6

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