The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta Braves 62%
Chicago Cubs 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Braves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Chicago Cubs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Braves than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.4%
0%
52.6%
Atlanta Braves - Chicago Cubs Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Chi Cubs will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 30.1% – 75.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago Cubs will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
30. Baldwin D.
2. Hoerner N.
1. Albies O.
3. Bregman A.
28. Olson M.
8. Happ I.
23. Harris M.
27. Suzuki S.
14. Dubon M.
6. Shaw M.
27. Riley A.
29. Busch M.
8. Smith D.
7. Swanson D.
7. Kim Ha-Seong
9. Amaya M.
18. Yastrzemski M.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
Pitchers
51. Sale C.
32. Brown B.
Coaches
. Weiss W.
. Counsell C.
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3.
Atlanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Chi Cubs has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Chi Cubs has had a series of away games.
Atlanta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 92:66. (average 4.6:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:34. (average 4:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlanta Braves - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 59.07%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Chicago Cubs - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.