Match Info

MLB

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Netherlands	ESPN 3
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Arizona Diamondbacks

	1	2
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.40
	1.61	2.33
	1.65	2.44
			Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.64	2.43	Watch
	1.61	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
59.7%

Arizona Diamondbacks
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Arizona will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

#ad

Lineups

Batters
20. Sogard N.	6. Vargas I.
3. Rafaela C.	7. Carroll C.
52. Abreu W.	14. Moreno G.
40. Contreras W.	2. Perdomo G.
5. Durbin C.	28. Arenado N.
30. Gasper M.	13. Tawa T.
32. Monasterio A.	10. Lawlar J.
16. Duran J.	11. Fernandez J.
12. Wong C.	15. Waldschmidt R.
Pitchers
70. Tolle P.	32. Pfaadt B.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Lovullo T.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Arizona has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 111:92. (average 5.6:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 74:46. (average 6.7:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.65%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
18.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	9:4 ✺
17.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	11:1 ✺
16.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	8:3 ✺
15.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	8:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB
18.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	9:4 ✺
17.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	11:1 ✺
16.08.26	Atlanta Braves - Arizona Diamondbacks	5:3 ✺
15.08.26	Atlanta Braves - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:10 ✺
14.08.26	Atlanta Braves - Arizona Diamondbacks	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
18.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	9:4
17.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	11:1
07.09.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Boston Red Sox	4:7
06.09.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Boston Red Sox	5:1
05.09.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Boston Red Sox	10:5
25.08.24	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	5:7
24.08.24	Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks	1:4

Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide