Match Info
MLBDate: 22 July 2026, WednesdayLocation: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Boston Red Sox |
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Baltimore Orioles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.77 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.75 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.83 |
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2.10 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.80 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.79 |
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2.17 |
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 |
1.79 |
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2.04 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.64) |
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2.09 ↓
(2.35) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Boston Red Sox
54.1% | Baltimore Orioles
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Baltimore Orioles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baltimore will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
48.  Seigler A.
| 3. Ward T.
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3.  Rafaela C.
| 25. Alonso P.
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52.  Abreu W.
| 2. Henderson G.
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40. Contreras W.
| 9.  O'Neill T.
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7.  Yoshida M.
| 33. Encarnacion-Strand C.
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5. Durbin C.
| 12. Beavers D.
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16.  Duran J.
| 62. Rodriguez J.
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32. Monasterio A.
| 7. Holliday J.
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75. Narvaez C.
| 41. Tromp C.
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| Pitchers |
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99.  Rivera E.
| 38. Bradish K.
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| Coaches |
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. Tracy C.
| . Albernaz C.
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Preview
Played for 7 innings.One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.Boston has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Baltimore is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Baltimore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.Recently, Baltimore has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 106:78. (average 5.3:3.9).Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:53. (average 5.3:4.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 22.07.26 | Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles | 6:3 | | 20.07.26 | Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles | 6:5 | | 04.06.26 | Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles | 2:8 | | 03.06.26 | Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles | 8:1 | | 02.06.26 | Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles | 2:4 | | 26.04.26 | Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox | 3:5 | | 25.04.26 | Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox | 1:17 |
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