Match Info

MLB

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	00:45	Viaplay
Finland	01:45	Viaplay
France	00:45	beIN Sports MAX 4
Norway	00:45	Viaplay
Sweden	00:45	Viaplay
Usa	18:45	ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
International	22:45	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Cleveland Guardians

	1	2
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.77	2.10
	1.74	2.12
	1.84	2.12
			Watch
	1.81	2.10
	1.83	2.12	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	2.1 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
54.1%

Cleveland Guardians
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cleveland will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Batters
20. Sogard N.	38. Kwan S.
30. Gasper M.	11. Ramirez J.
31. Rutschman A.	24. DeLauter C.
52. Abreu W.	7. Adell J.
5. Durbin C.	1. Martinez A.
3. Rafaela C.	6. Fry D.
16. Duran J.	37. Bazzana T.
10. Story T.	16. Bailey P.
2. Kiner-Falefa I.	4. Rocchio B.
Pitchers
55. Suarez R.	41. Espino D.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Vogt S.

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.

In recent outings, Boston has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cleveland is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Boston has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 97:88 (averaging 4.9:4.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boston against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:43 goals (averaging 3.8:4.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Red Sox - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.59%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Cleveland Guardians - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.41%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
23.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
23.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	12:6 ✺
18.09.26	Cleveland Guardians - Athletics	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
23.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	1:0
22.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	2:3
31.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Boston Red Sox	4:9
30.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Boston Red Sox	1:9
29.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Boston Red Sox	4:3
03.09.25	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	1:8
02.09.25	Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians	11:7

Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians