Match Info

MLB

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Boston Red Sox

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.67	2.23
	1.68	2.36
			Watch
	1.66	2.30
	1.69	2.33	Watch
	1.66	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.66)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
57.8%

Boston Red Sox
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	19. Anthony R.
26. Vilade R.	30. Gasper M.
13. Caminero J.	31. Rutschman A.
21. Deluca J.	10. Story T.
14. Simpson C.	20. Sogard N.
15. Williamson B.	5. Durbin C.
40. Fortes N.	16. Duran J.
25. Mesa V.	2. Kiner-Falefa I.
6. Walls T.	18. Eaton N.
Pitchers
22. Jax G.	43. Sandoval P.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Tracy C.

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Tampa Bay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tampa Bay has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Boston has had a run of games away from home.

Tampa Bay is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:86 (averaging 3.6:4.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 39:35 goals (averaging 3.9:3.5 per game).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.5%, but this team recently wins 51% of matches with these odds.

Boston Red Sox - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.5%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:4 ✺
17.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Athletics	10:1 ✺
16.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Athletics	4:3 ✺
15.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Athletics	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Boston Red Sox
MLB
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:4 ✺
17.09.26	Texas Rangers - Boston Red Sox	3:4 ✺
16.09.26	Texas Rangers - Boston Red Sox	7:3 ✺
15.09.26	Texas Rangers - Boston Red Sox	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:1
18.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	2:4
19.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	6:1
18.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	7:6
17.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:3
17.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	10:0
10.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox	7:5

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