Match Info

MLB

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN+
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Minnesota Twins

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.27
	1.68	2.39
			Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.69	2.33	Watch
	1.58	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	2.31 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
58.4%

Minnesota Twins
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Minnesota Twins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Twins than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Minnesota will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
16. Duran J.	16. Martin A.
3. Rafaela C.	22. Lee B.
52. Abreu W.	9. Larnach T.
40. Contreras W.	56. Bell J.
7. Yoshida M.	2. Clemens K.
20. Sogard N.	37. Caratini V.
75. Narvaez C.	11. Arcia O.
11. Mayer M.	30. Outman J.
5. Durbin C.	5. Kreidler R.
Pitchers
54. Gray S.	17. Ober B.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Shelton D.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 1.

Boston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minnesota is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 118:115. (average 5.9:5.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:52. (average 5.5:5.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Red Sox - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 59.07%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
23.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	2:4 ✺
22.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	6:8 ✺
20.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	3:4 ✺
19.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	1:7 ✺
18.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Boston Red Sox	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW
- Minnesota Twins
MLB
23.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	2:4 ✺
22.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	6:8 ✺
20.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros	4:1 ✺
19.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
23.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	2:4
22.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	6:8
15.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox	5:9
14.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox	6:0
13.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox	13:6
MLB Spring Training
24.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox	15:6
23.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	6:9

Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide