Match Info
MLBDate: 14 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
World | MLB.TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Boston Red Sox |
|
Philadelphia Phillies |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Boston Red Sox 50.5% | Philadelphia Phillies 49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Boston (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Boston Red Sox will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boston Red Sox will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
#ad
Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
16. Duran J.
| 7. Turner T.
|
32. Monasterio A.
| 12. Schwarber K.
|
52. Abreu W.
| 3. Harper B.
|
40. Contreras W.
| 53. Garcia A.
|
3. Rafaela C.
| 28. Bohm A.
|
10. Story T.
| 16. Marsh B.
|
75. Narvaez C.
| 10. Realmuto J.T.
|
5. Durbin C.
| 29. Reyes F.
|
2. Kiner-Falefa I.
| 33. Sosa E.
|
| Pitchers |
|---|
55. Suarez R.
| 44. Luzardo J.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Tracy C.
| . Mattingly D.
|
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Recently, Boston has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 103:103. (average 5.2:5.2).Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 61:51. (average 6.1:5.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 52.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 13.05.26 | Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies | 3:1 | | 12.05.26 | Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies | 1:2 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 09.03.26 | Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:3 | | 05.03.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox | 6:2 | | MLB | | | 23.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox | 8:9 | | 22.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox | 4:1 | | 21.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox | 3:2 |
|