Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Netherlands	ESPN 3
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Seattle Mariners

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.67	2.23
	1.72	2.31
			Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.71	2.29	Watch
	1.68	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
57.3%

Seattle Mariners
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Seattle will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:0

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Lineups

Batters
19. Anthony R.	56. Arozarena R.
30. Gasper M.	8. Canzone D.
3. Rafaela C.	44. Rodriguez J.
52. Abreu W.	12. Naylor J.
20. Sogard N.	27. Ward T.
5. Durbin C.	2. Young C.
16. Duran J.	31. Wilson W.
10. Story T.	3. Crawford J.
12. Wong C.	5. Pereda J.
Pitchers
43. Sandoval P.	50. Miller B.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Wilson D.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 92:83. (average 4.6:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 54:51. (average 6.8:6.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Red Sox - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 55.09%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Seattle Mariners - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
01.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	6:9 ✺
31.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	9:8 ✺
30.08.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	16:1 ✺
29.08.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	9:2 ✺
29.08.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Seattle Mariners
MLB
01.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	6:9 ✺
31.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	9:8 ✺
30.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Seattle Mariners	7:0 ✺
29.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Seattle Mariners	4:3 ✺
28.08.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Seattle Mariners	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	6:9
31.08.26	Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners	9:8
21.06.26	Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox	3:1
20.06.26	Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox	1:5
19.06.26	Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox	2:6
18.06.25	Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox	1:3
17.06.25	Seattle Mariners - Boston Red Sox	8:0

Boston Red Sox - Seattle Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide