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Current Win Probability
New York Yankees 55.5%
Boston Red Sox 44.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Yankees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox Predictions
Users Predictions:
New York Yankees will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
22. Rice B.
37. Jones J.
35. Bellinger C.
31. Rutschman A.
26. Garcia L.
40. Contreras W.
78. Jones S.
52. Abreu W.
96. Lombard Jr. G.
3. Rafaela C.
13. Chisholm J.
5. Durbin C.
12. Grisham T.
20. Sogard N.
28. Wells A.
10. Story T.
19. McMahon R.
18. Eaton N.
Pitchers
54. Fried M.
54. Gray S.
Coaches
. Boone A.
. Tracy C.
Preview
Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 4.
NY Yankees is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Boston have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Yankees has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 85:49 (averaging 4.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Yankees against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 51:16 goals (averaging 5.1:1.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Boston Red Sox - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Rice B. 
Jones J. 
Contreras W. 
Rafaela C. 
Chisholm J. 
Wells A. 
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