Match Info
MLBDate: 16 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Guaranteed Rate Field (Chicago, IL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Chicago White Sox |
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Tampa Bay Rays |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
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1.74 |
 Watch |
 |
2.12 |
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1.72 |
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 |
2.17 |
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1.8 |
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 |
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Watch |
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2.1 |
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1.73 |
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2.16 |
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1.8 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.05) |
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1.76 ↓
(1.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chicago White Sox
45.1% | Tampa Bay Rays
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago White Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago White Sox than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chi White Sox will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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20.  Vargas M.
| 14.  Simpson C.
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10. Meidroth C.
| 13.  Caminero J.
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5.  Murakami M.
| 31. Mullins C.
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28.  Pereira E.
| 2. Diaz Y.
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26. Quero E.
| 26. Vilade R.
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41. Murray T.
| 15. Williamson B.
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23. Benintendi A.
| 21. Deluca J.
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25. Hill D.
| 40. Fortes N.
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17.  Antonacci S.
| 0. Walls T.
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| Pitchers |
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49. Leasure J.
| 32. Matz S.
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| Coaches |
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. Venable W.
| . Cash K.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi White Sox won 2.Recent form of Chi White Sox has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi White Sox won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 99:116. (average 5:5.8).Including home matches between the teams, Chi White Sox won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:78. (average 5.5:6.5).
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Last Results with these Odds
Chicago White Sox - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 47.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 15.04.26 | Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays | 3:8 | | 14.04.26 | Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays | 5:8 | | 11.09.25 | Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays | 5:1 | | 10.09.25 | Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays | 6:5 | | 09.09.25 | Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays | 4:5 | | 23.07.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Chicago White Sox | 9:11 | | 22.07.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Chicago White Sox | 4:3 |
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