Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Chicago White Sox		Tampa Bay Rays

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.72
	2.17	1.8
			Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.16	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago White Sox
45.1%

Tampa Bay Rays
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago White Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago White Sox than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chi White Sox will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
20. Vargas M.	14. Simpson C.
10. Meidroth C.	13. Caminero J.
5. Murakami M.	31. Mullins C.
28. Pereira E.	2. Diaz Y.
26. Quero E.	26. Vilade R.
41. Murray T.	15. Williamson B.
23. Benintendi A.	21. Deluca J.
25. Hill D.	40. Fortes N.
17. Antonacci S.	0. Walls T.
Pitchers
49. Leasure J.	32. Matz S.
Coaches
. Venable W.	. Cash K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi White Sox won 2.

Recent form of Chi White Sox has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi White Sox won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 99:116. (average 5:5.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chi White Sox won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:78. (average 5.5:6.5).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago White Sox - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 47.16%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago White Sox
MLB
15.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	3:8 ✺
14.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:8 ✺
12.04.26	Kansas City Royals - Chicago White Sox	5:6 ✺
11.04.26	Kansas City Royals - Chicago White Sox	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Kansas City Royals - Chicago White Sox	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLL
- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
15.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	3:8 ✺
14.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:8 ✺
12.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:4 ✺
11.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:4 ✺
10.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	3:8
14.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:8
11.09.25	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:1
10.09.25	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	6:5
09.09.25	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	4:5
23.07.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Chicago White Sox	9:11
22.07.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Chicago White Sox	4:3

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