Match Info
MLBDate: 5 July 2026, SundayLocation: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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Baltimore Orioles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.91 |
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1.82 |
 Watch |
 |
1.98 |
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1.85 |
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 |
1.95 |
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1.85 |
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 |
2.06 |
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1.91 |
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 |
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Watch |
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2.05 |
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1.83 |
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 |
1.99 |
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1.93 |
Watch |
 |
1.96 |
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1.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.88) |
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1.86 ↓
(1.93) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
48.4% | Baltimore Orioles
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Baltimore Orioles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-2.6%)Cincinnati Reds - Baltimore Orioles Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Baltimore Orioles will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
44.  De la Cruz E.
| 2.  Henderson G.
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27. Stewart S.
| 35. Rutschman A.
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22. Bleday JJ
| 3. Ward T.
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28.  Suarez E.
| 25. Alonso P.
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7. Steer S.
| 16. Mayo C.
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37. Stephenson T.
| 9.  O'Neill T.
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4. Marte N.
| 30. Taveras L.
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29. Friedl T.
| 82. Jackson J.
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2.  Arroyo E.
| 23. Blaze A.
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| Pitchers |
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40. Lodolo N.
| 38. Bradish K.
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| Coaches |
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. Francona T.
| . Albernaz C.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 11)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.Recent form of Cincinnati has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Baltimore has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Baltimore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.Recently, Baltimore has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 90:88. (average 4.7:4.6).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 2.5:3.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 04.07.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Baltimore Orioles | 5:8 | | 03.07.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Baltimore Orioles | 0:3 | | 20.04.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Cincinnati Reds | 2:24 | | 19.04.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Cincinnati Reds | 9:5 | | 18.04.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Cincinnati Reds | 3:8 | | 05.05.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Baltimore Orioles | 1:11 | | 04.05.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Baltimore Orioles | 1:2 |
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