Match Info

MLB

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3, FOX Sports 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 3
Peru	ESPN 3
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		Cleveland Guardians

	1	2
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.16	1.69
	2.21	1.77
			Watch
	2.2	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.76	Watch
	2.14	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
44.2%

Cleveland Guardians
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Cleveland will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
44. De la Cruz E.	38. Kwan S.
27. Stewart S.	11. Ramirez J.
17. Myers D.	24. DeLauter C.
28. Suarez E.	37. Bazzana T.
37. Stephenson T.	4. Rocchio B.
4. Marte N.	9. Manzardo K.
63. Johnson I.	13. Arias G.
2. Arroyo E.	16. Bailey P.
3. Hayes K.	0. Halpin P.
Pitchers
51. Singer B.	54. Cantillo J.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Vogt S.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cleveland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cleveland has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 82:96. (average 4.1:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:39. (average 5.2:3.9).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 6.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	5:6 ✺
26.07.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	3:5 ✺
25.07.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	7:0 ✺
24.07.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	5:6 ✺
26.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	11:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	2:0
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	5:6
17.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4
16.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4
15.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	6:7
MLB Spring Training
22.03.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	8:2
17.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	6:8

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