Match Info
MLBDate: 30 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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Colorado Rockies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.59 |
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2.45 |
 Watch |
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1.58 |
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2.37 |
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1.67 |
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2.42 |
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Watch |
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1.53 |
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2.45 |
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1.63 |
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2.46 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.58) |
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2.43 ↓
(2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
60.3% | Colorado Rockies
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Colorado Rockies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rockies than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Colorado will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cincinnati Reds will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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29.  Friedl T.
| 27. Beck J.
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9. McLain M.
| 9. Doyle B.
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44.  De la Cruz E.
| 15. Goodman H.
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27. Stewart S.
| 2. Freeman T.
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31. Lowe N.
| 3.  Castro W.
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37. Stephenson T.
| 7. Rumfield T.
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22. Bleday JJ
| 12. Karros K.
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7. Steer S.
| 14.  Tovar E.
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30. Benson W.
| 20. Johnston T.
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| Pitchers |
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41. Abbott A.
| 24.  Lorenzen M.
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| Coaches |
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. Francona T.
| . Schaeffer W.
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Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.Recently, Colorado has had a series of away games. Cincinnati could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 138:73. (average 6.9:3.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:39. (average 6.3:3.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 60.84%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Colorado Rockies - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 39.16%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 29.04.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies | 2:13 | | 28.04.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies | 7:2 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 10.03.26 | Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds | 1:8 | | MLB | | | 13.07.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies | 4:2 | | 12.07.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies | 4:3 | | 11.07.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies | 2:3 | | 27.04.25 | Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds | 1:8 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
