Match Info

MLB

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		Colorado Rockies

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.37
	1.67	2.42
			Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.63	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
60.3%

Colorado Rockies
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Colorado Rockies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rockies than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Colorado will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
29. Friedl T.	27. Beck J.
9. McLain M.	9. Doyle B.
44. De la Cruz E.	15. Goodman H.
27. Stewart S.	2. Freeman T.
31. Lowe N.	3. Castro W.
37. Stephenson T.	7. Rumfield T.
22. Bleday JJ	12. Karros K.
7. Steer S.	14. Tovar E.
30. Benson W.	20. Johnston T.
Pitchers
41. Abbott A.	24. Lorenzen M.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Schaeffer W.

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.

Recently, Colorado has had a series of away games.

Cincinnati could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 138:73. (average 6.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:39. (average 6.3:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 60.84%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Colorado Rockies - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 39.16%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
29.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	2:13 ✺
28.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	7:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Detroit Tigers	3:8 ✺
25.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Detroit Tigers	9:2 ✺
24.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Detroit Tigers	9:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Colorado Rockies
MLB
29.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	2:13 ✺
28.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	7:2 ✺
26.04.26	New York Mets - Colorado Rockies	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	New York Mets - Colorado Rockies	1:3 ✺
24.04.26	New York Mets - Colorado Rockies	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
29.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	2:13
28.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	7:2
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds	1:8
MLB
13.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	4:2
12.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	4:3
11.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies	2:3
27.04.25	Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds	1:8

Cincinnati Reds - Colorado Rockies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide