Match Info
MLB - Spring TrainingDate: 11 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Goodyear Ballpark (Goodyear, AZ)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Cincinnati Reds |
|
Milwaukee Brewers |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.74 |
|
2.15 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.12 |
|
 |
1.75 |
|
2.14 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.73 |
|
2.1 |
|
 |
1.78 |
|
2.13 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.79) |
|
2.13 ↑
(2.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 10.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
55% | Milwaukee Brewers
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Milwaukee Brewers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Brewers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
29.  Friedl T.
| 10.  Frelick S.
|
9. McLain M.
| 28. Vaughn A.
|
37. Stephenson T.
| 99.  Sanchez G.
|
7. Steer S.
| 13.  Rengifo L.
|
17. Myers D.
| 20. Lockridge B.
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4. Marte N.
| 6. Hamilton D.
|
3. Hayes K.
| 33. McGuire R.
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35. Trevino J.
| 89. Lara L.
|
53. Hampson G.
| 86. Made J.
|
| Pitchers |
|---|
41. Abbott A.
| 54. Gasser R.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Francona T.
| . Murphy P.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.Recent form of Cincinnati has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Milwaukee has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 76:97. (average 3.8:4.9).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:58. (average 3.6:5.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.59%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Milwaukee Brewers - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 46.41%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB Spring Training | | | 28.02.26 | Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds | 7:9 | | MLB | | | 28.09.25 | Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds | 4:2 | | 27.09.25 | Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds | 4:7 | | 26.09.25 | Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds | 1:3 | | 17.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers | 3:2 | | 16.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers | 5:6 | | 15.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers | 8:10 |
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