Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Netherlands	ESPN 3
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.30	1.65
	2.33	1.61
	2.44	1.64
			Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.39	1.66	Watch
	2.38	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.21)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
40.6%

San Diego Padres
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

#ad

Lineups

Batters
43. Rodriguez H.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
44. De la Cruz E.	0. Taylor S.
27. Stewart S.	3. Merrill J.
22. Bleday JJ	25. France T.
37. Stephenson T.	2. Bogaerts X.
17. Myers D.	8. Salas E.
46. Brito J.	15. Hays A.
9. McLain M.	12. Campusano L.
2. Arroyo E.	9. Cronenworth J.
Pitchers
55. Williamson B.	32. Mize C.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Stammen C.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

Recent performances by Cincinnati have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Diego has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 84:93. (average 4.2:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:43. (average 4.6:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

San Diego Padres - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 56.39%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
01.09.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	4:3 ✺
31.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	5:7 ✺
29.08.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	17:5 ✺
28.08.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	8:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW
- San Diego Padres
MLB
01.09.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	4:3 ✺
31.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	5:4 ✺
29.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	7:6 ✺
28.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	9:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.09.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	4:3
31.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	0:5
10.06.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	5:4
09.06.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	3:5
08.06.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	6:2
MLB Spring Training
08.03.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	14:3
26.02.26	Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres	11:10

Cincinnati Reds - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide