Match Info

MLB

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Cleveland Guardians		Baltimore Orioles

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.79	2.02
	1.86	2.12
			Watch
	1.8	2
	1.86	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Guardians
53%

Baltimore Orioles
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Users Predictions: Cleveland Guardians will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
38. Kwan S.	3. Ward T.
1. Martinez A.	2. Henderson G.
11. Ramirez J.	25. Alonso P.
8. Hoskins R.	62. Rodriguez J.
6. Fry D.	82. Jackson J.
10. Schneemann D.	32. Wilson W.
34. Brito J.	16. Mayo C.
27. Hedges A.	31. Huff S.
4. Rocchio B.	23. Blaze A.
Pitchers
54. Cantillo J.	28. Rogers T.
Coaches
. Vogt S.	. Albernaz C.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 3.

In recent matches, Cleveland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baltimore is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 96:94. (average 4.8:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 72:62. (average 5.1:4.4).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 12.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.75%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
18.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:6 ✺
16.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2 ✺
15.04.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cleveland Guardians	5:3 ✺
14.04.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cleveland Guardians	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Baltimore Orioles
MLB
18.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:6 ✺
16.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2 ✺
15.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Arizona Diamondbacks	5:8 ✺
14.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
18.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2
17.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:6
16.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	4:2
24.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	3:4
23.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	3:2
22.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	6:3
21.07.25	Cleveland Guardians - Baltimore Orioles	10:5

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