Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Cleveland Guardians		Cincinnati Reds

	1	2
	1.63	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.61	2.33
	1.68	2.45
			Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Guardians
59.2%

Cincinnati Reds
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Guardians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cleveland Guardians will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
10. Schneemann D.	30. Benson W.
11. Ramirez J.	44. De la Cruz E.
24. DeLauter C.	22. Bleday JJ
9. Manzardo K.	7. Steer S.
37. Bazzana T.	27. Stewart S.
38. Kwan S.	31. Lowe N.
1. Martinez A.	37. Stephenson T.
16. Bailey P.	29. Friedl T.
4. Rocchio B.	9. McLain M.
Pitchers
32. Williams G.	51. Singer B.
Coaches
. Vogt S.	. Francona T.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 4.

Cleveland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cleveland has had a series of home games.

Cleveland could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 90:82. (average 4.5:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 54:32. (average 4.9:2.9).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 12.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
16.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4 ✺
15.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	6:7 ✺
13.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Los Angeles Angels	4:2 ✺
12.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Los Angeles Angels	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Los Angeles Angels	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
16.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4 ✺
15.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	6:7 ✺
14.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals	15:1 ✺
13.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals	7:8 ✺
12.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4
15.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	6:7
MLB Spring Training
22.03.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	8:2
17.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	6:8
MLB
11.06.25	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	11:2
10.06.25	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	0:1
09.06.25	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	4:7

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