Match Info

MLB

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Peru	ESPN 5, Fox Sports
World	MLB.TV


	Cleveland Guardians		New York Mets

	1	2
	1.76	2.1	Watch
	1.83	2.00
	1.78	2.03
	1.85	2.11
			Watch
	1.79	2.1
	1.85	2.09	Watch
	1.77	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.89)	2.07 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Guardians
53.4%

New York Mets
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). NY Mets will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
37. Bazzana T.	12. Lindor F.
24. DeLauter C.	19. Bichette B.
11. Ramirez J.	88. Robert L.
31. Lowe N.	3. Benge C.
1. Martinez A.	4. Alvarez F.
4. Rocchio B.	10. Semien M.
0. Halpin P.	39. Wagaman E.
16. Bailey P.	13. Torrens L.
17. Genao A.	71. Pache C.
Pitchers
22. Griffin F.	26. McLean N.
Coaches
. Vogt S.	. Green A.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 81:81. (average 4.3:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:40. (average 4.8:4).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 6.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
05.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	5:6 ✺
04.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	2:6 ✺
02.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - Arizona Diamondbacks	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - Arizona Diamondbacks	8:12 ✺
31.07.26	Cleveland Guardians - Arizona Diamondbacks	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- New York Mets
MLB
05.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	5:6 ✺
04.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	2:6 ✺
02.08.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:6 ✺
31.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
05.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	5:6
04.08.26	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	2:6
06.08.25	New York Mets - Cleveland Guardians	1:4
05.08.25	New York Mets - Cleveland Guardians	2:3
04.08.25	New York Mets - Cleveland Guardians	6:7
22.05.24	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	6:3
21.05.24	Cleveland Guardians - New York Mets	7:6

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