Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Miami Marlins

	1	2
	1.96	1.79	Watch
	2.00	1.83
	1.98	1.83
	2.08	1.87
			Watch
	2.03	1.85
	1.99	1.93	Watch
	2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	1.85 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
47.9%

Miami Marlins
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

New York Mets - Miami Marlins Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Mets: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
9. Ewing A.	34. Hicks L.
12. Lindor F.	28. Stowers K.
19. Bichette B.	6. Lopez O.
88. Robert L.	9. Edwards X.
29. Young J.	18. Conine G.
10. Semien M.	17. Caissie O.
11. Polanco J.	87. Marsee J.
4. Alvarez F.	8. Sanoja J.
Pitchers
78. Stock R.	22. Alcantara S.
Coaches
. Green A.	. McCullough C.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.

Recent performances by NY Mets have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, NY Mets has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 89:80. (average 4.5:4).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 71:49. (average 6.5:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 49.9%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Miami Marlins - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 50.1%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
01.08.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:6 ✺
31.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:5 ✺
30.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	4:2 ✺
29.07.26	New York Mets - Atlanta Braves	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	New York Mets - Atlanta Braves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW
- Miami Marlins
MLB
01.08.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:6 ✺
31.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:5 ✺
30.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	4:2 ✺
29.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:6 ✺
28.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.08.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:6
31.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	2:5
30.07.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	4:2
31.05.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	10:1
30.05.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	6:1
29.05.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	9:7
24.05.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	4:1

New York Mets - Miami Marlins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide