Match Info
MLBDate: 16 August 2026, SundayLocation: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Canada | fubo Sports Network |
World | MLB.TV |
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Cleveland Guardians |
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San Diego Padres |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.98 |
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1.85 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
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1.87 |
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 |
1.92 |
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1.88 |
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2.01 |
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1.92 |
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Watch |
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1.99 |
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1.89 |
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1.99 |
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1.93 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
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1.9 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.95) |
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1.89 ↓ (1.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians 49% | San Diego Padres 51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cleveland Guardians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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38. Kwan S.
| 23. Tatis F. Jr.
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24. DeLauter C.
| 9. Cronenworth J.
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11. Ramirez J.
| 13. Machado M.
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7. Adell J.
| 25. France T.
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46. Lowe N.
| 3. Merrill J.
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8. Hoskins R.
| 21. Rengifo L.
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37. Bazzana T.
| 30. Sheets G.
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27. Hedges A.
| 2. Bogaerts X.
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4. Rocchio B.
| 54. Fermin F.
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| Pitchers |
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28. Bibee T.
| 32. Mize C.
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| Coaches |
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. Vogt S.
| . Stammen C.
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Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 1.Cleveland is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Diego is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Cleveland has had a series of away games.Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 69:86. (average 3.5:4.3).Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 4.3:4.1).
Outrights of MLB for now
Cleveland Guardians: 6.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Cleveland Guardians - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 49.52%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 15.08.26 | Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres | 6:1 | | 14.08.26 | Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres | 5:7 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 07.03.26 | Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres | 7:1 | | MLB | | | 02.04.25 | San Diego Padres - Cleveland Guardians | 5:2 | | 01.04.25 | San Diego Padres - Cleveland Guardians | 7:0 | | 31.03.25 | San Diego Padres - Cleveland Guardians | 7:2 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 08.03.25 | San Diego Padres - Cleveland Guardians | 7:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;