The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 49.8%
Milwaukee Brewers 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Milwaukee Brewers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milwaukee Brewers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
San Diego Padres - Milwaukee Brewers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Milwaukee (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 7.5, OT - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
San Diego Padres will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.
11. Chourio J.
3. Merrill J.
22. Yelich C.
13. Machado M.
24. Contreras W.
25. France T.
2. Turang B.
15. Hays A.
9. Bauers J.
2. Bogaerts X.
12. Pratt C.
12. Campusano L.
10. Frelick S.
9. Cronenworth J.
5. Mitchell G.
0. Taylor S.
3. Ortiz J.
Pitchers
10. Buehler W.
54. Gasser R.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Murphy P.
Preview
Milwaukee Brewers leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.
San Diego has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Milwaukee shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
San Diego may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Milwaukee has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Diego has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 78:67 (averaging 3.9:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Diego against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 58:36 goals (averaging 5.8:3.6 per game).